As many political commentators have pointed out, David Cameron may have a double digit lead over Gordon Brown in several reputable opinion polls but he is not “sealing the deal.”
On May 6, I wrote a blog post titled ‘If you want to be Prime Minister, seal the deal!’ wondering whether a opposition leader could ever be elected without offering much substance. After all, there is saying that governments lose elections and opposition parties win them. But funnily enough, Tony Blair who David Cameron has been compared to in terms of offering any sort of charismatic appeal to the electorate, won a massive 1997 landslide not only because the public were sick of Major, but because of his charm, but most importantly there were some concrete policies: Constitutional reforms, improving and investing in public services, peace in Northern Ireland…..
Gordon Brown and other Labour ministers have talked about how when voters step into the voting booth, they will make a choice based on investment, and a party that is building Britain’s Future. How tired and worn out the statement my seem, Brown may have a point.
For a moment, let’s take a look at the three main parties.
Labour will never be willing to cut. They will always want to pump millions of pounds into schools, hospitals and infrastructure projects. The problem with Labour is that they seem to address one problem and then inadvertently cause another. Take the EMA system for instance. There are probably better examples.
Another problem is that the other political parties can not do any better than the incumbent government. When Labour annouce a new program to build thousands more ‘affordable’ homes, they may be insufficient, not as affordable as the government thinks and the contractors may take a while to start the work, but we have to ask ourselves one honest question: Do we think we would get a fraction of these homes under a Tory goverment?
Johann Hari of the Independent was spot on when he said on Question Time Extra that cuts were about the human impact, not whether people liked Brown or not.
Then there is the Lib Dems- the only credible oppostion in British politics. Where they seem to stumble is that they have not worked out yet how their policies may work in practice, but it is a start.
I welcome debates not only between leaders but with party ministers too. Darling, Osborne and Cable going head to head.
It is clear that Brown’s messgae of Labour investment and Tory cuts does not wash with the British people, but one interesting thing I picked up during PMQs was that he says that Labour are bringing foward investment and the Tories are not. Perhap he should emphasise his argument on why the Tories want to cut spending straight away and stress the human impact.
If we cut straight away, if you house is on fire the emergency services may take longer to arrive at your home if there was less firefighters.
In a live televised debate with Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan looked into the camera and asked the American people “Will you be better off then you were four years ago.” And we all know who won the election.
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